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An Infection Prevention and Control perspective on why COVID-19 has had such a deadly impact on care home residents in the UK

By: Dr Sarah House and Eric Fewster

Building on previous analysis of IPC guidance and the history of asymptomatic transmission

In early April 2020 we undertook analysis on the UK Government infection, prevention and control (IPC) guidance for care homes. We identified significant gaps in the guidance, which we found to be weak, scattered, difficult to access, and some of it contradictory, or with factual errors. In particular, we identified the lack of focus on asymptomatic transmission, as a significant weakness.

Subsequently we worked with inputs from a wider group of cross-sectoral specialists to develop an interim IPC strategy that care homes could use, while working to try and influence to the UK Government to respond to the gaps. The first version went online on 18 April, and there have been several iterations of the document since then. The holding page of the document is here: https://www.bushproof.com/care-homes-strategy-for-infection-prevention-control-of-covid-19-based-on-clear-delineation-of-risk-zones/

As part of this process we also undertook a more detailed analysis of the UK Govt / England’s IPC guidance (15 May): https://ltccovid.org/2020/05/15/mapping-of-uk-government-guidance-for-infection-prevention-and-control-ipc-for-covid-19-in-care-homes/ and also later we undertook analysis of progress in responding to asymptomatic transmission (12 June): https://ltccovid.org/2020/06/12/asymptomatic-and-pre-symptomatic-transmission-in-uk-care-homes-and-infection-prevention-and-control-ipc-guidance-an-update/

Despite its importance, it took a long time for much of the scientific community, some governments and international organizations to recognize it. This article in the New York Times by Kirkpatrick, D. on 27 June 2020, highlights what happened well: https://www.nytimes.com/2020/06/27/world/europe/coronavirus-spread-asymptomatic.html#click=https://t.co/EsRkNGOK0i

As the article by Kirkpatrick, highlights there were already case studies emerging of asymptomatic cases and transmission from January/February onwards. The UK scientific advisory bodies, the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (SAGE) and the New and Emerging Respiratory Viruses Technical Advisory Group (NERVTAG), Public Health England (PHE) and the UK Department of Health and Social Care, discussed this issue regularly from January onwards, but rather than taking the precautionary principle, chose to base their strategic responses only on symptomatic transmission. It was not until late-May 2020 that the UK Government started to talk about asymptomatic transmission openly and not until 16 June that it was integrated to some degree into theiradmission and care of residents document for care homes during the COVID-19 outbreak.

In this post we would like to provide an overview of the factors that, from an infection prevention and control perspective, we feel may have contributed to the high numbers of deaths in UK care homes, and then to look more specifically at:

  1. Why taking so long to incorporate asymptomatic transmission evidence in the guidance and policies, was a significant part of the problem.
  2. Why it is so important to have clear and practical IPC guidance for care homes, because undertaking effective IPC for Covid-19 is challenging due to the wide variation in contexts and set-ups of care homes and when supporting people with high care needs.   

Potential contributing factors to the high numbers of deaths in UK care homes

Figure 1 provides an overview of the factors that we believe may have contributed to the high numbers of deaths of residents and staff in UK care homes. Some of these factors (blue boxes) have over the past few months slowly been picked up often first by the UK media and following this, by the UK government in its daily briefings. For some, actions have been taken to remedy the problem.

Potential contributing factors high number of deaths that have had more attention in the media and have been discussed more by the UK Government and media:

  1. UK Government / Public Health England not releasing the data on care home infections and deaths for several months
  2. Pro-active admission of residents from hospitals into care homes with no test or who are COVID positive
  3. Care home staff – working across homes, some on zero-hours contracts without sick pay, some working in hospitals and care homes and with limited training
  4. Government policy on persuading the public to not wear face masks in public places
  5. Challenges with accessing PPE and knowing how to put it on and take it off
  6. Slow action by the government in still permitting visitors and not locking down
  7. Lack of access to regular and fast testing for staff and residents
  8. High community transmission – risking transmission through staff and visitors

But there are other important potential contributing factors that have had less attention (yellow boxes), such as the significant gaps in the quality and accessibility of the UK IPC guidance for care homes and the lack of focus on asymptomatic transmission in care homes.

Contributing factors that have not gained as much attention in the UK media or by the UK Government:

  1. A focus only on symptomatic transmission for the initial months
  2. Weak, scattered, contradictory and sometimes incorrect infection prevention and control (IPC) guidance
  3. IPC guidance that does not recognise the wide variation in different kinds of care home and building set-ups and the challenges for IPC related to caring for people living with dementia

Figure 1. Overview of potential contributing factors to high levels of death of residents and staff in UK care homes

Figure 2 provides an overview of what we believe are probably the consequences for care homes of not taking the precautionary principle for IPC related to asymptomatic / pre-symptomatic / pauci-symptomatic transmission and not recognising a-typical symptoms, which are more common for older people. 

Figure 2. Potential implications of not using the precautionary principle for a- and pre-symptomatic transmission

Why care homes face challenge for implementing Infection and Control

Care homes in the UK face important challenges to implement IPC for a number of reasons that relate to their wide variation in type, size, layout, age of buildings, staffing and some of the characteristics of the residents who live in the homes.

Here we summarise some of the challenges, some of which we were aware of when we started working on the IPC strategy and others that became apparent though our direct engagement with care home managers and networks.

Because of the complexity of the care home environment, staffing and the residents who tend to live in care homes, it is essential that IPC guidance is:

Examples of the complexity of the care home set-up and the features of why care homes are challenging for IPC:

A – Variation in types of home and residents

B – Physical set up of homes

C – Physical aspects posing challenges for implementing hygiene procedures

D – Residents living with dementia

E – Residents living with physical and sensory difficulties

F – Visitors, end of life care and impacts of isolation

G – Staff and training

H – Staff becoming infected

Detailed analysis of what was known by the UK Govt advisory bodies when and timeline for focus on care homes

In July the UK Government and the Secretary of State for Social Care have been noting in the media that the reason for the high number of deaths in UK care homes, was because they did not know about asymptomatic transmission. From our analysis of the SAGE and NERVTAG minutes, this was clearly not the case, as the scientific advisors and the UK Government were discussing emerging case studies and evidence on this issue since January 2020.

For further information and more detailed analysis and a detailed timeline of what was known when, in relation to asymptomatic transmission and also how much the UK Government advisory bodies prioritised discussions on the needs of people in care homes during the Covid-19 pandemic – see here: https://www.bushproof.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/07/Gaps-UK-Govt-IPC-care-homesasymptomatic-13_7_20-FINAL-upload.pdf.